What happens if your assumptions are wrong?

Every financial projection is built on assumptions - revenue growth rates, cost margins, market conditions, customer behaviour. The question is not whether these assumptions will prove exactly right (they won't), but whether your business can still succeed if they are wrong.

Scenario analysis answers that question by modelling different futures: What if revenue grows at 10% instead of 20%? What if your largest supplier raises prices by 15%? What if the market slows for six months? Sensitivity analysis goes deeper, showing you which single variable has the biggest impact on your bottom line.

Together, these techniques transform a static financial model into a dynamic decision-making tool. We build Excel-based scenario and sensitivity models that are practical, maintainable, and tailored to your specific business context - with data tables, goal seek, tornado charts, and clear outputs you can present to your board, investors, or management team.

Break-even analysis - also called cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis - is a natural extension of scenario modelling. It answers one of the most fundamental questions in business: how much revenue do you need to cover your costs? By modelling fixed costs, variable costs, and pricing together, you can determine your break-even point, set target profit thresholds, and understand how changes in any variable ripple through your entire profit equation. We integrate break-even logic directly into your scenario models so you always know the revenue floor beneath your projections.